Former President Donald Trump has retaken a lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in a broad new national survey, a potential indicator that her “honeymoon” period with voters saw her close the gap with her GOP opponent after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race in July could be waning.
According to a newly released Fox News poll, Trump bested Harris by a slim 1-point margin, 50-49 percent, which is well within the poll’s margin of error. Last month, the results were identical in terms of margins: Harris was behind Trump by one point, 48-49%—as was President Joe Biden, with the same 48-49% result.
Since the last poll, several high-profile events have occurred. Trump has survived an assassination attempt, chosen Sen. J.D. Vance as his running mate, and formally received the Republican nomination at the party’s convention. Meanwhile, the Democrats have seen significant changes, removing Biden from the ticket and nominating Harris, who did not receive any primary votes.
By a slim margin, more Democrats support Harris (94%) compared to the percentage of Republicans backing Trump (93%), with Independents favoring Trump by 8 points. Trump maintains 95% of his 2020 supporters, while Harris retains 93% of Biden’s 2020 voters. New voters, who haven’t participated in the last four general elections, are evenly split at 49% for each candidate, a shift from last month when they preferred Trump over Biden by 7 points, Fox noted.
